|Note: Due to technical changes, the invoice interest rate as of May 31, 2023 will only be available on this website with a delay. If you are already registered for our mail service from the previous year or register here by May 29, 2023 at the latest, we will inform you about the discount rate as of May 31, 2023 by e-mail at the beginning of June (in German). You will also find the values in a LinkedIn post on the profile of our Chief Actuary Thomas Hagemann and at Mercer Deutschland at the beginning of June.|
To assist companies in determining the discount rate, Mercer delivers monthly information on the discount rates for IFRS, US-GAAP and HGB (German Commercial Code) valuations of pension obligations. Furthermore, Mercer reports weekly on the development of the discount rates for IFRS and US-GAAP valuations during November and December of each year.
To determine the discount rate recommendation Mercer uses its own approach, the ‘Mercer Yield Curve Approach’ (MYC). The MYC is being used for setting discount rates for valuations made for USA, UK, Canada, Eurozone and some other countries. According to this approach, Mercer creates a ‘Spot Rate Yield Curve’ based on bonds from the Thomson Reuter’s Datastream indexes (until 31.5.2015 from Bloomberg indexes) in the Euro area. Since the discount rate in accordance with IAS 19.78 is defined by the ‘time value of money’, which by definition does not incorporate any greater risk of default, Mercer consequently uses only those bonds, which have no interest rate-distorting options, like e.g. it would be the case with call or put options. Furthermore, the bonds with much higher or lower interest rates compared to the other bonds (statistical outliers) are also not considered. A detailed explanation of the method described above can be found here.
The relevant method used to determine the discount rate has a very strong impact.
The companies therefore have a certain latitude in the choice of the discount rate (although the principles of continuity and consistency still must be followed).
Our recommendation is based on durations of 10, 15 and 20 years. The discount rates for different durations can be determined by interpolating the values from the table below. It should also be noted that the current high level of discount rates may result in lower durations than those in the previous years.
Basis: Until 31.05.2015 Bloomberg indexes, from 30.06.2015 until 30.06.2019 Thomson Reuters Datastream indexes, since 31.07.2019 Refinitiv indexes. Discount rates Mercer Yield Curve 2006–2014 rounded to 10 basis points. Smaller adjustments in the calculation as of 30.06.2015, 30.11.2016, 31.08.2018 and 31.08.2021 (description here).
The effects of changes in discount rates lead to so-called actuarial gains / losses. These must be taken into account in equity immediately according to the revised version of ASC 715 (US-GAAP) released in the end of September 2006 or according to the version of IAS 19 (revised 2011) released in June 2011 and applicable from 2013. In ASC 715, gains and losses may lead to increased (for losses) or reduced (for gains) expenses in the next year when the so-called corridor approach is used and the corridor is exceeded.
The usage of a discount rate in the valuations according to the German Commercial Code is regulated by law. According to § 253 Abs. 2 of the Commercial Code, provisions for pensions are discounted with a rate determined by the German Central Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank). It can be either the discount rate for a 15-year period or the discount rate chosen according to the actual remaining term of the obligations.
The discount rates for different maturities are published monthly by the German Central Bank. The rate is determined using the yield curve for zero-coupon euro interest swaps increased by an additional spread. The average of the interest rates over the last ten years (seven years up to December 31, 2015) for pension liabilities and seven years for other liabilities like jubilees or pre-retirement part time (ATZ) is used to avoid strong short-term volatilities. The maturities of one to ten years, 12, 15, 20, 25, 30, 40 and 50 years are observed to calculate the interest rate. The spread is calculated using a broad index of returns for corporate bonds with high credit ratings.
A modification of the method for determining the discount rate used for pension valuations under German-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Practice) was introduced early in 2016. The new method will extend the rolling average period to 10 years for pension liabilities, leading to a reduction in the reported pension liabilities at the point of change – so far a seven year rolling average of market rates is used (and continues to be used for other liabilities as e.g. jubilees and pre-retirement part time (ATZ). The discount rates used for a typical pension plan at December 31, 2015, would typically increase by around 0.42%-points, to 4.31% up from 3.89%.
Under German-GAAP, changes in pension liabilities from one year to the next are recognized immediately in profit and loss (P&L), so the change likely will benefit companies by smoothing P&L charges. The reduction in pension liabilities will not increase the maximum dividend payable by the German company.
A transitional regulation providing companies with a fiscal year starting and ending in 2015 will allow them to opt to apply the new standard retroactively for 2015.
For further details please visit our website (in German).
The following table is based on the 7-year-average and in addition 10-year-average (from December 31st, 2015):
Since the HGB discount rate is an average rate, at least the short-term trend is well estimable. Assuming that the current level of interest rates remains unchanged, the following forecasted interest rates can be determined as of: April 30th, 2023